Náutico vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
ARN
1 - 5
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2007 |
NAU
0 - 0
FLU
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAU
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2007 |
NAU
0 - 2
GRE
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
COR
0 - 3
NAU
64%
23%
14%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
VAS
2 - 2
FFL
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2007 |
FFL
1 - 0
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
FLU
1 - 1
FFL
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2007 |
FFL
2 - 2
COR
44%
25%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
SAN
3 - 1
FFL
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |