Náutico vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
NAU
1 - 0
CRZ
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
INT
1 - 0
NAU
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
GRE
5 - 0
NAU
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1990 |
NAU
2 - 2
FLA
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1990 |
NAU
0 - 0
FLA
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
ECS
2 - 1
VIT
47%
29%
24%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
ECS
1 - 1
GRE
35%
31%
34%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
CRZ
0 - 0
ECS
60%
24%
15%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
ECS
0 - 0
SAO
34%
30%
36%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1990 |
PAL
2 - 0
ECS
63%
22%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |