Náutico vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAM
4 - 3
NAU
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
NAU
0 - 2
LON
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NAU
0 - 1
CRI
55%
24%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
OES
0 - 0
NAU
33%
29%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BAH
1 - 0
VAS
23%
27%
50%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 1
BAH
30%
30%
41%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BAH
3 - 0
PAR
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
AVA
0 - 3
BAH
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
BAH
1 - 1
ATL
49%
28%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |