Náutico vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
COT
3 - 1
NAU
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
NAU
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 0
BRA
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
PPE
2 - 0
NAU
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 2
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
ASA
0 - 2
DUQ
49%
25%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 0
SAO
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 1
IFC
42%
26%
33%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
COT
0 - 2
DUQ
72%
20%
9%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | +2 |