Náutico vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
19.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
NAU
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
SPO
38%
30%
33%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 3
VAS
34%
28%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 2
NAU
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
CRI
1 - 0
VIL
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
CRI
1 - 0
MET
74%
18%
9%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
CRI
10%
18%
71%
|
64 | 26 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CRI
0 - 1
BRU
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
CRI
3 - 1
CAC
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 24 | 41 | 0 |