Náutico vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2010 |
TRE
4 - 3
NAU
18%
22%
60%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEA
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 0
IFC
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
SAO
5 - 0
NAU
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 2
ARN
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
CRB
1 - 1
CEA
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
SER
1 - 2
CRB
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
CRB
1 - 0
VIT
18%
24%
59%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
CRB
0 - 0
CSE
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CRB
1 - 1
MUR
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |