Náutico vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
53.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 0
NAU
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 0
PPE
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
COR
2 - 1
NAU
69%
21%
10%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
NAU
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 2
FLU
21%
25%
54%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 2
COT
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
COT
1 - 1
PAL
51%
24%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
PPE
4 - 1
COT
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
COT
1 - 1
PAL
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 1
COT
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |