Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-0
Náutico vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAU
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
NAU
4 - 1
RIO
50%
22%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
EST
2 - 2
NAU
15%
20%
65%
|
63 | 24 | 39 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
NAU
2 - 2
SER
79%
14%
8%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
RIO
0 - 1
NAU
52%
23%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
JMA
2 - 1
COT
21%
26%
53%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
COT
3 - 1
ICA
78%
16%
6%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
CAM
1 - 2
COT
16%
25%
60%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
COT
1 - 1
ROM
80%
14%
5%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
COT
2 - 1
LON
71%
18%
10%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |