Náutico vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
MAR
4 - 0
NAU
45%
26%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
NAU
2 - 1
SPO
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2006 |
NAU
1 - 0
ARN
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
PAU
1 - 0
NAU
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2006 |
CRB
1 - 2
NAU
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
COT
2 - 1
VIL
62%
23%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
COT
2 - 1
PAU
51%
26%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2006 |
CRB
2 - 2
COT
25%
28%
47%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
COT
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2006 |
COT
1 - 1
CEA
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |