Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 1-3
Náutico vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
41.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
MAN
0 - 1
NAU
7%
15%
79%
|
66 | 11 | 55 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
NAU
3 - 1
PAL
86%
10%
4%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
NAU
2 - 2
ITA
91%
7%
2%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
NAU
2 - 0
SER
87%
10%
4%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
NAU
2 - 3
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
COT
2 - 0
ROM
82%
14%
4%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CAM
0 - 1
COT
12%
22%
67%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
COT
1 - 1
CIA
81%
14%
5%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
ENG
1 - 1
COT
11%
21%
68%
|
82 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 3
COT
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |