Náutico vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
45.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 0
ATL
39%
26%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FLU
2 - 1
NAU
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 0
ATM
22%
26%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
NAU
73%
17%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
NAU
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
COR
3 - 0
SPO
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 2
COR
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 2
COR
36%
30%
35%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
PPE
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
COR
3 - 1
GRE
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |