Náutico vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1974 |
SPO
1 - 0
NAU
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAU
43%
28%
30%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1974 |
NAU
0 - 0
NAC
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
NAU
1 - 1
SAN
31%
26%
44%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
NAU
2 - 0
OPE
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
ATM
2 - 1
COR
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
COR
2 - 2
POR
63%
21%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
CEA
0 - 1
COR
25%
33%
43%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
COR
3 - 1
AMF
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
COR
0 - 0
PAL
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |