Náutico vs Central SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
BAH
4 - 1
NAU
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 2
NAU
20%
24%
57%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
NAU
0 - 3
FOR
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NAU
2 - 2
RFC
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
CRB
2 - 3
NAU
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SED
0 - 5
CEN
20%
21%
58%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CEN
1 - 1
AFO
32%
25%
42%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PET
1 - 1
CEN
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
NAU
0 - 1
CEN
82%
13%
5%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CEN
0 - 0
SAN
12%
21%
68%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |