Náutico vs Central SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
NAU
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
POR
1 - 4
NAU
18%
23%
59%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 2
SAL
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
SPO
38%
25%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NAU
3 - 0
POR
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 2
SPO
14%
22%
64%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
2 - 1
POR
55%
24%
20%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 1
CEN
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 0
CEN
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
NAU
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |