Náutico vs Central SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
YPI
0 - 3
NAU
16%
21%
63%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
NAU
5 - 1
SAL
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 3
NAU
32%
25%
44%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 2
NAU
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
NAU
21%
22%
57%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 3
SPO
14%
23%
64%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
PET
2 - 1
CEN
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 4
POR
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAB
1 - 0
CEN
29%
25%
47%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
CEN
34%
25%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |