Náutico vs Central SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
NAU
5 - 0
PAY
63%
19%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
SPO
2 - 0
NAU
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
BEL
0 - 1
NAU
16%
21%
62%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
62%
20%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
PAY
1 - 0
NAU
41%
25%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
CEN
1 - 0
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 1
CEN
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CAB
1 - 2
CEN
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
CEN
2 - 1
VCR
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
CEN
0 - 1
SPO
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |