Náutico vs Central SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
UBE
0 - 1
NAU
22%
28%
51%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1979 |
NAU
0 - 1
USC
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 1978 |
GOI
3 - 0
NAU
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1978 |
FLU
2 - 1
NAU
64%
22%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1978 |
NAU
4 - 1
JEC
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1979 |
USC
2 - 1
CEN
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1979 |
CEN
1 - 1
SET
28%
29%
43%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | +2 |