Náutico vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
56.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 3
NAU
20%
22%
58%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
NAU
3 - 0
POR
85%
12%
4%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NAU
0 - 1
BOT
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
PET
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAU
17%
21%
62%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CEA
1 - 1
ALT
81%
14%
5%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
CEA
5 - 0
CAU
92%
7%
2%
|
86 | 47 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SDJ
0 - 1
CEA
11%
23%
66%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
CEA
6 - 0
UNI
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CEA
1 - 0
FLO
80%
15%
5%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |