Náutico vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
FFL
3 - 0
NAU
46%
28%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAU
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
NAU
0 - 0
AMF
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 1
SPO
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2017 |
CEA
0 - 0
BOA
60%
25%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
CRB
1 - 0
CEA
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 0
FER
74%
18%
8%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FER
0 - 1
CEA
16%
20%
64%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
77%
17%
6%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |