Náutico vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
NAU
0 - 1
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
AVA
2 - 1
NAU
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
NAU
2 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
GAM
1 - 0
NAU
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
NAU
4 - 0
BAH
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
CAX
1 - 2
GUA
35%
27%
39%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAX
77%
15%
7%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
CAX
1 - 2
ANA
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 0
CAX
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
CAX
1 - 2
SPO
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |