Náutico vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
BRA
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 1
NAU
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
PPE
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
GOI
0 - 1
NAU
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
NAU
5 - 0
OPE
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
BRU
44%
28%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 1
BOT
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
REM
2 - 1
BRU
38%
28%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 3
CSA
36%
29%
36%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
4 - 1
BRU
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |