Náutico vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 1
NAU
31%
30%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 0
FFL
49%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 2
NAU
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
NAU
3 - 3
JUV
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 0
NAU
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
PPE
1 - 0
BOT
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
CUI
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 0
BOT
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 1
FFL
47%
28%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 1
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |