Náutico vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 3
NAU
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
NAU
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 0
CSA
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
SPO
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
LON
2 - 2
BOT
28%
29%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
BOT
3 - 0
REM
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
COT
40%
28%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
BOT
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
VAS
0 - 1
BOT
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |