Náutico vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
46.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 3
NAU
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 0
MOG
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
OES
2 - 0
NAU
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
NAU
3 - 0
ABC
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PAY
0 - 1
NAU
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 1
CEA
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
4 - 0
BRA
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 2
BOT
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
MAC
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 1
BOT
17%
26%
57%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |