Náutico vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
53.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 4
CRZ
19%
23%
58%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
PPE
1 - 2
NAU
61%
23%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NAU
3 - 0
COT
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAU
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 0
FLA
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 1
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOT
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 1
PPE
69%
19%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLA
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 2
BAH
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |