Náutico vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
BOT
0 - 1
NAU
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
NAU
4 - 1
GAM
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
REM
1 - 3
NAU
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2003 |
NAU
3 - 0
MOG
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
BRA
1 - 0
NAU
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
BOT
0 - 1
NAU
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
SAO
2 - 2
BOT
13%
22%
65%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
BOT
2 - 1
PAU
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
GAM
1 - 1
BOT
27%
25%
48%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2003 |
BOT
2 - 2
CAX
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |