Náutico vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
NAU
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
NAU
3 - 2
REM
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ABC
2 - 0
NAU
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 0
GLO
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
SDJ
2 - 0
NAU
20%
27%
53%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAL
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
SDJ
1 - 1
BOT
26%
29%
45%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 1
GLO
75%
17%
9%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 0
BOT
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 3
BOT
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |