Náutico vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAM
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
NAU
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
COT
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
BRU
4 - 3
NAU
35%
28%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 2
NAU
22%
29%
49%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
4 - 0
AVA
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
CSA
46%
28%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
VIT
55%
26%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 1
AVA
19%
28%
53%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
OPE
2 - 1
AVA
35%
29%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |