Náutico vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
GOI
4 - 2
NAU
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 3
CRB
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 0
NAU
38%
29%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 0
LUV
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 1
NAU
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 1
OES
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 0
AVA
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
AVA
2 - 1
VAS
18%
26%
56%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
AVA
3 - 1
VIL
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
TUP
1 - 1
AVA
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |