Náutico vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 0
NAU
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
POR
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 0
ARN
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 0
NAU
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 0
NAU
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 0
AVA
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 1
PAR
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
AVA
1 - 1
CEA
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 1
ASA
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
ASA
3 - 2
AVA
32%
24%
44%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |