Náutico vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
NAU
5 - 4
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 0
NAU
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
MOG
1 - 2
NAU
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
NAU
1 - 0
XVD
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
NAU
2 - 0
ANA
47%
24%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
CRB
0 - 1
AVA
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
AVA
2 - 0
SAM
63%
20%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
REM
2 - 1
AVA
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
FOR
2 - 0
AVA
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
AVA
2 - 0
BRA
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |