Náutico vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
52.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
NAU
73%
17%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
NAU
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 1
VAS
24%
27%
50%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CRZ
3 - 0
NAU
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 2
FFL
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 0
SAO
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 0
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 0
ATM
31%
26%
44%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
ATM
49%
25%
25%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 2
PPE
68%
19%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |