Náutico vs Anapolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
ANA
1 - 2
NAU
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2002 |
BRA
2 - 2
NAU
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
NAU
3 - 0
PAU
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
SAO
2 - 1
NAU
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
NAU
1 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
ANA
1 - 2
NAU
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2002 |
ANA
0 - 1
AME
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
CRI
1 - 1
ANA
62%
21%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
ANA
2 - 1
PAU
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
CEA
4 - 1
ANA
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |