Náutico vs AD Cabense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
4.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
SER
2 - 1
NAU
15%
21%
63%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
POR
4 - 3
NAU
18%
22%
61%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
NAU
6 - 0
YPI
88%
9%
4%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
NAU
6 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
5%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 2
NAU
21%
23%
56%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
AD Cabense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
YPI
0 - 1
CAB
67%
17%
16%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
CAB
0 - 2
VCR
30%
24%
47%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CAB
1 - 3
SPO
14%
22%
65%
|
35 | 71 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
CAB
1 - 0
BEL
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 3
CAB
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | +1 |