Náutico vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAU
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2019 |
NAU
2 - 1
BOT
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 2
NAU
36%
29%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
NAU
2 - 2
GLO
71%
20%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
NAU
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
ABC
1 - 1
GLO
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 0
ABC
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
ABC
2 - 4
IMP
59%
23%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ABC
2 - 4
FER
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 1
ABC
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |