Náutico vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
GLO
1 - 1
NAU
20%
27%
53%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 0
SDJ
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 1
NAU
25%
29%
46%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
CON
2 - 3
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
NAU
3 - 1
ATL
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
REM
1 - 0
ABC
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
ABC
2 - 0
SAL
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
ABC
4 - 0
CON
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 0
ABC
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
ABC
0 - 3
SAN
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |