Náutico vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
CRB
2 - 2
NAU
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
NAU
2 - 0
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
GOI
2 - 0
NAU
56%
24%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
NAU
2 - 0
BOA
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 0
NAU
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 1
ABC
54%
26%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ABC
1 - 0
BOA
32%
29%
38%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CRB
1 - 0
ABC
65%
22%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 1
GOI
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
ABC
1 - 1
JUV
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |