Náutico vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 4
AMF
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 2
NAU
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
NAU
3 - 1
PAR
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
NAU
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 1
NAU
74%
18%
9%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 1
AVA
32%
27%
42%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
OES
1 - 0
ABC
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
CRZ
1 - 0
ABC
81%
14%
6%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 0
ABC
36%
29%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 0
ATL
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |