Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-4
Náutico vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
GOI
1 - 1
NAU
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
NAU
1 - 1
GOI
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
CSA
0 - 1
NAU
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
NAU
2 - 1
CSA
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1995 |
NAU
1 - 4
SAO
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2000 |
PAL
1 - 1
ABC
89%
8%
3%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2000 |
ABC
3 - 3
PAL
19%
23%
59%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
GOI
1 - 1
ABC
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2000 |
ABC
1 - 1
GOI
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
VIT
0 - 1
ABC
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |