Náutico vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
REM
1 - 2
NAU
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
ABC
2 - 0
NAU
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
NAU
2 - 2
ABC
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
GOI
1 - 1
NAU
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
NAU
1 - 1
GOI
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
ABC
0 - 1
CEA
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
ABC
1 - 3
FLA
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
ABC
2 - 0
NAU
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
NAU
2 - 2
ABC
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2000 |
PAL
1 - 1
ABC
89%
8%
3%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |