Náutico vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
NAU
4 - 0
AMF
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
ATM
2 - 0
NAU
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
UBE
1 - 1
NAU
33%
29%
38%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
VIL
0 - 1
NAU
33%
29%
38%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
NAU
1 - 0
SPO
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
CAM
0 - 1
ABC
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
ABC
2 - 0
AMF
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
ARN
1 - 1
ABC
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ABC
1 - 2
CRZ
22%
24%
54%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1978 |
ABC
1 - 1
USC
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |