Náutico vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
PAU
2 - 1
NAU
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2004 |
NAU
1 - 0
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2004 |
NAU
2 - 1
AME
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2004 |
CAX
2 - 3
NAU
29%
24%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
NAU
2 - 0
SAO
73%
16%
10%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
POR
4 - 2
BRA
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
ANA
3 - 1
POR
38%
26%
35%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
POR
3 - 0
SAN
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
POR
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2004 |
POR
0 - 1
AVA
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |