Náutico vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
CSA
2 - 1
NAU
42%
27%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
BAH
1 - 0
NAU
53%
26%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
NAU
1 - 0
SPO
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1986 |
NAU
1 - 0
ATP
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
COM
0 - 1
NAU
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
BAH
0 - 1
POR
51%
27%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1986 |
POR
0 - 0
INT
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
POR
3 - 2
COM
60%
24%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1986 |
CRZ
2 - 0
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
CSA
1 - 1
POR
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |