Náutico vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
NAU
1 - 1
AME
50%
27%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
CRB
0 - 0
NAU
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
NAU
0 - 1
FLU
33%
24%
43%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
NAU
1 - 2
CRZ
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
NAU
0 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
CRB
0 - 0
POR
39%
29%
33%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1972 |
SAO
1 - 1
POR
72%
17%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
AMF
2 - 2
POR
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
POR
0 - 1
SAN
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1971 |
POR
1 - 0
AMF
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +3 |