Náutico vs 7 de Setembro EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.1%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CEN
3 - 2
NAU
12%
20%
68%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
NAU
2 - 0
MOT
82%
13%
6%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
NAU
3 - 0
YPI
85%
11%
5%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 2
NAU
12%
19%
68%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
NAU
1 - 0
SER
87%
9%
4%
|
76 | 37 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
7 de Setembro EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SET
3 - 0
PET
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SET
0 - 2
SPO
8%
19%
73%
|
37 | 82 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
CAB
2 - 2
SET
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SET
0 - 0
ACA
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
SET
75%
16%
10%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |