National Assembly vs Red Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
23.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
National Assembly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
LUD
1 - 1
NAT
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
NAT
1 - 4
GRE
45%
28%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
NAT
1 - 2
KON
46%
29%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
KAB
1 - 3
NAT
43%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
NAT
0 - 0
ZES
46%
28%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
RED
2 - 2
KAB
53%
26%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ZES
2 - 0
RED
49%
29%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
RED
2 - 0
POW
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CEA
3 - 2
RED
56%
25%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
RED
1 - 1
ZAN
51%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |