Naters vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LAU
1 - 0
NAT
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NAT
3 - 0
FCM
43%
24%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
VEV
1 - 0
NAT
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
NAT
1 - 0
TER
80%
12%
8%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
MEY
1 - 2
NAT
44%
25%
32%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
THU
4 - 1
LAC
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 5
THU
24%
20%
56%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
THU
1 - 1
BUL
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
THU
5 - 1
CSC
53%
21%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
THU
3 - 0
DOR
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |