Naters vs Portalban / Gletterens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
16º
12º
32
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ECH
1 - 1
NAT
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TER
1 - 2
NAT
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NAT
1 - 3
SER
15%
20%
64%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VEV
2 - 0
NAT
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MEY
0 - 1
NAT
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Portalban / Gletterens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
POR
0 - 4
MEY
21%
21%
58%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MUN
4 - 0
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 2
POR
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
POR
3 - 1
FCM
15%
19%
67%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +5 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
POR
49%
21%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |