Naters vs FC Malley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 4
NAT
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
NAT
2 - 3
GRA
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DUD
4 - 0
NAT
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
NAT
0 - 1
YOU
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
UGS
2 - 1
NAT
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Malley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 0
CSC
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
BAU
2 - 0
FCM
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ETO
0 - 0
FCM
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FCM
4 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
10%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
FCM
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |