Naters vs FC Malley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 4
NAT
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
NAT
0 - 1
SIO
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
FRI
2 - 1
NAT
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
NAT
4 - 1
ETO
28%
24%
49%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +4 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
NAT
3 - 0
ECH
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
FC Malley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
FCM
3 - 0
YOU
77%
15%
9%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
BAU
1 - 2
FCM
28%
23%
49%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
SIO
3 - 2
FCM
39%
24%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
FCM
2 - 2
FRI
67%
18%
15%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ETO
4 - 2
FCM
39%
25%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -2 |